Valuation and Value of Software Maintenance Revenue Stream

November 21st, 2008

A rule of thumb for the acquisition value of a revenue stream from software maintenance is 3 to 4 times trailing twelve months revenue (3-4x revenue multiple).  This assumes that the maintenance stream has a high renewal rate (typically in the 85% to 90% range) with high gross margins (80% or higher).

When are we at the bottom of the market?

October 7th, 2008

A very very loose Rule of Thumb for gauging when the stock market has hit bottom is when news of the crash has become main stream.  This is typically indicated by front page articles in the main stream (i.e., non-financial press) that are talking about the financial crisis.

Startup Burn Rate

February 26th, 2008

A good rule of thumb for an appropriate start-up burn rate is about $100,000 per month.  For example, a web-based startup should be able to operate for one year if they raise a $1 million dollar angel round.  This will equate to approximately 3 founders at the time of the equity raise, to hiring 7 people for a total of 10 people at the end of 1 year.  The cash will be burned on the salaries and operating expenses of the startup and should provide enough runway to eliminate some of the initial market and technical risks so that the startup can raise a venture round at a favorable valuation.

Mergers and Acquisitions Timeline

January 25th, 2008

Most large corporations require approximately 9 months to identify an acquisition target.  Once a corporation has defined its strategy and identified a target area for acquisition, it typically takes about 9 months to identify the players in the space, conduct preliminary due diligence, gain necessary internal approvals, and negotiate an LOI (letter of intent).  Once the LOI has been signed by both parties, it will usually take 1-2 months to complete due diligence and negotiations so that a Definitive Agreement can be executed.  Including this time, a corporation may take as long as a 1 year to complete an acquisition.

Should You Quit Your Job to Pursue an MBA?

December 19th, 2007

In general, if you don’t go to a top tier business school, it is not worth quitting your job to go.  You should instead go to an executive MBA program to get your degree or do an online program for your business degree. 

Direct Sales Force Justification

November 27th, 2007

A product or service needs to have an Average Selling Price (ASP) of at least $200,000 to justify a direct sales force.  Anything less than $200k needs to be sold via partners, channels, or inside sales.   This should be helpful in developing business models for start-up companies, particularly in the enterprise software space.

Corporate Forecasting Overestimated

November 15th, 2007

On average, corporations overestimate their revenue forecasts by 37%.  This is according to a study by Mankins & Steele, Harvard Business Review (HBR), August 2005. 

99/1 Rule

November 8th, 2007

For a myriad of complex legal reasons, Limited Partners require General Partners to contribute their own capital into their venture capital fund.  While this amount can vary, the vast majority of the time GPs need to contribute 1% of the committed capital with LPs contributing the remaining 99%.   Thus the 99/1 rule. 

Depth/Length of an Investment Fund’s J-Curve

November 8th, 2007

The depth of an venture capitalist or private equity investor’s “J curve” is typically 3 years.   In good times (such as 1999) it can be as short as 1 year.   In bad times (such as 2002) it can be as long as 5 years…or infinite. A “J curve” is the graphical representation of the value of a portfolio of illiquid investments over time.  For example, in the first years of a venture capital firm’s new fund, they are deploying capital at cost and collecting management fees.  Therefore, until they have a reason to write up the value of their investments (follow-on funding at higher valuations) or a liquidity event, the value of their fund is lower than the capital contributed.   So, the depth or length of the “j curve” is the length of time that a funds value is less than the capital contributed.

Inside Round…a last resort

November 8th, 2007

As a general rule, firms will only raise an inside investmetn round if they cannot raise an outside round.  An inside round means that the entreprenuer only raises capital from the investors in the previous round.  This situation raises a serious conflict of interest around the valuation of the round since there is not any objective 3rd party to set the new valuation.